Critical Risk
Resolution criteria are substantially underspecified. High dispute risk.
Critical rule clarity risk (29/100). Resolution criteria are substantially underspecified, creating meaningful post-trade dispute potential. Primary concerns: No description — time parameters cannot be fully evaluated. No explicit resolution source URL or reference provided.
Six weighted criteria
Time Clarity
How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.
Resolution timeline is vague or missing from the description.
5/20
Resolution Source
Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.
Resolution source is absent or relies on vague, unverifiable references.
4/20
Outcome Definition
How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.
Outcome is clear and binary; resolution conditions are described in the text.
12/20
Evidence Standard
Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.
No evidence standards specified — resolution criteria rely on subjective judgment.
2/15
Edge Case Handling
Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.
No edge case handling — unexpected events could lead to disputed resolutions.
3/15
Post-Trade Risk
Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.
Elevated post-trade risk — vague criteria may invite disputes after resolution.
3/10
How this market settles
No on-chain dispute record available
Polymarket markets resolve via the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. The Gamma API did not return dispute metadata for this market, so no challenge history can be confirmed here.
Volume
$0
24h Change
—
Liquidity
$56.8081
24h Volume
—
End Date
October 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
Resolution Source
Not specifiedDescription
No description provided.
Same category or risk level
Outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?
