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Technical Document

Verdict Whitepaper

An independent watchdog for prediction market resolution quality.

Version 1.0 — June 2026 — Prepared for researchers, institutional traders, and platform developers.

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Document Scope

This document describes the current Verdict product, its scoring methodology, platform architecture, and known limitations. It is a technical whitepaper and does not constitute legal, financial, investment, or trading advice.

The methodology applies to active, non-closed Polymarket markets with non-zero trading volume retrieved through the public Polymarket Gamma API and processed under the current Verdict ruleset.

Version

1.0

Published

June 2026

Pages

12

Format

PDF (LaTeX)

Table of Contents

  1. 1.Abstract
  2. 2.Introduction — The Problem with Prediction Market Resolution
  3. 3.What is Verdict?
  4. 4.The Resolution Risk Framework
  5. 5.Scoring Methodology
  6. 6.Risk Level Classification
  7. 7.Platform Architecture and Features
  8. 8.Community and Governance Layer
  9. 9.Data Sources and Refresh Policy
  10. 10.Limitations and Future Work
  11. 11.Conclusion
  12. 12.Appendix — Full Scoring Ruleset Reference Table
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