Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?

63out of 100

Medium Risk

Some ambiguity present. Human review recommended before large positions.

Moderate rule clarity (63/100). The market is generally well-structured with solid time clarity and outcome definition. Note: No explicit resolution source URL or reference provided. Ambiguity is limited but traders should review the full resolution criteria before trading.

No explicit resolution source URL or reference provided.
Resolution source relies on vague terms such as "credible reporting" or "substantial evidence".

Score Breakdown

Six weighted criteria

Time Clarity

How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.

Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.

20/20

Resolution Source

Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.

A resolution source is indicated but lacks specificity or a verifiable URL.

9/20

Outcome Definition

How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.

Outcome conditions are precisely defined with explicit YES/NO resolution criteria.

18/20

Evidence Standard

Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.

Evidence standards are implied by context but not formally defined.

5/15

Edge Case Handling

Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.

Basic edge cases may be implied but are not explicitly documented in the rules.

5/15

Post-Trade Risk

Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.

Moderate post-trade risk — some resolution criteria could be interpreted differently.

6/10

Resolution & Oracle

How this market settles

No on-chain dispute record available

Polymarket markets resolve via the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. The Gamma API did not return dispute metadata for this market, so no challenge history can be confirmed here.

Resolution oracle: 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7
Condition ID: 0x37af2c38345cbcd330db09f4e24f5a698e65fecae25e1a017536d368980c7e59

Market Details

Volume

24h Change

+20.5pp

Liquidity

$663.4223

24h Volume

—

End Date

June 30, 2027 at 12:00 PM UTC

Resolution Source

Not specified

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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