High Risk
Significant rule clarity concerns. Material dispute risk exists.
Elevated rule clarity risk (54/100). Key concerns: No explicit resolution source URL or reference provided. Resolution source relies on vague terms such as "credible reporting" or "substantial evidence". Traders should carefully evaluate the resolution criteria before entering a position.
Six weighted criteria
Time Clarity
How clearly the resolution deadline and time parameters are defined.
Resolution timeline is explicitly defined with a specific date and time reference.
20/20
Resolution Source
Whether an authoritative, verifiable data source is named.
Resolution source is absent or relies on vague, unverifiable references.
4/20
Outcome Definition
How precisely the YES/NO resolution conditions are specified.
Outcome conditions are precisely defined with explicit YES/NO resolution criteria.
18/20
Evidence Standard
Whether acceptable and excluded evidence types are documented.
No evidence standards specified — resolution criteria rely on subjective judgment.
2/15
Edge Case Handling
Coverage of delays, revisions, cancellations, and disputed data.
Basic edge cases may be implied but are not explicitly documented in the rules.
5/15
Post-Trade Risk
Risk of retroactive re-interpretation after the market closes.
Moderate post-trade risk — some resolution criteria could be interpreted differently.
5/10
How this market settles
No on-chain dispute record available
Polymarket markets resolve via the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. The Gamma API did not return dispute metadata for this market, so no challenge history can be confirmed here.
Volume
$2.5M
24h Change
-0.1pp
Liquidity
$176K
24h Volume
$654.706683
End Date
December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC
Resolution Source
Not specifiedDescription
This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that Jeff Epstein, the New York financier, is still alive between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Same category or risk level
Outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
